Countdown Clocks

Countdown Clocks

Posts tagged "2014 US Senate Elections"

thepoliticalfreakshow:

nunn obama

In a poll by Landmark Communications released Sunday, Democrat Michelle Nunn has a commanding lead against both of her potential challengers in Georgia’s US Senate race. Against Rep. Jack Kingston (R-GA) Nunn is up by eight points, 49% to 41%. The poll also shows her with a nice lead against businessman David Perdue as Nunn leads him 48% to 42%. Perdue and Kingston are heading into a GOP primary runoff this coming Tuesday. The survey shows Kingston with a sizable lead as he is ahead by seven points, 48% to 41%.

While Nunn holds leads against both men, the thought is that she’d prefer to face Kingston in the general election. Atlanta-based political analyst Bill Crane had the following to say after this poll was released.

“I think Michelle Nunn would prefer to run against Jack Kingston. Twenty-two year incumbent, PAC money, special interest, her preferred race is the race that I think she’s going to get.”

Nunn taking the Georgia Senate seat would put a huge crimp in the plans of Republicans who feel they can take over the US Senate this November. Currently, the GOP needs to net six seats in the midterm to become the majority party in the Upper Chamber. Losing a Senate seat in a deep-red state that was previously held by a Republican will almost certainly prevent Republicans from taking over the Senate. While it is nearly a given that Democrats will lose seats this November, it is looking more and more promising that they will be able to retain control of the Senate.

Besides this race, Dems have a very good chance of flipping another Republican-held seat. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is in real danger of losing to Kentucky Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes this November. Polls show the race in a virtual tie and Grimes has been able to energize Democrats in Kentucky. Also, McConnell’s insistence on running against Obamacare is likely to backfire as the health care law has been a raging success in Kentucky. Toss in the fact that Grimes has attracted national attention, with big names coming to Kentucky to campaign for her, and all the arrows point to an embarrassing loss for McConnell.

Mitch McConnell: say one thing, do another. Let’s send him packing in November at the ballot box by replacing him with Alison Lundergan Grimes. 

H/T: Sahil Kapur at TPM

thepoliticalfreakshow:

Since the runoff McDaniel and his supporters have complained that McDaniel actually won the Republican vote in the runoff and Cochran was only the winner through getting African Americans and Democrats to vote for him.

As The New York Times’ Upshot blog notes, Cochran won 92 percent of the votes in the precincts that are Democratic strongholds. President Barack Obama won 99 percent of the vote in those precincts in 2012. Cochran won those precincts by 3,889 votes, or more than half of his margin of victory in the runoff over all. With those votes, Democratic votes in other parts of the state could have cleanly brought Cochran over the finish line in the runoff, even with Republican voters in those precincts going for McDaniel.

An important data point to keep in mind also is that in historically Democratic-dominant places like Hinds County, one of the most densely populated counties in Mississippi, turnout wasn’t especially large (7.4 percent of the 2012 general election numbers) — but with runoff voters going 92 to 8 for Cochran, it would be enough to move the race in Cochran’s favor.

Cochran also got about 32,000 votes from blacks who voted for Obama in the last election, according to the Upshot. That’s about 8 percent of the 382,000 votes over all cast in the runoff election.

Mississippi is a fairly racially polarized state so, even though how African-Americans voted in the 2012 presidential election isn’t perfectly representative of how African-Americans voted since then, it’s fairly close, according to The Upshot. According to exit polls, only about 10 percent of the state’s white voters went for Obama in 2012.

In the whitest, most Republican-leaning precincts (places where Obama got less than 20 percent of the vote) McDaniel beat Cochran with 19,033 votes or 57 percent of the vote. Again though, those numbers don’t perfectly represent all white voters.

Another important fact to keep in mind: the new data doesn’t confirm or disprove that claims by McDaniel supporters that Cochran got Democrats who voted in the Democratic primary to illegally vote in the Republican primary.

The new data is based on 93 percent of the runoff electorate. The other 7 percent is based on information from precincts that couldn’t easily be compared to the 2012 presidential election. But, as the Upshot notes, it isn’t likely that the remaining unmatched data would change the other findings. The unmatched data came from precincts that leaned more Democratic, meaning they were likely more favorable to Cochran.

thepoliticalfreakshow:

The party sent results to the Secretary of State on Monday, the legal deadline.

The GOP’s numbers showed Cochran winning by more than the 6,800 votes counted by The Associated Press after the June election. Tallies change as county parties examine provisional ballots and finalize results.

McDaniel, a state senator, has said he would challenge the results. But his attorney Mitch Tyner says it could be days before that happens.

Tyner says the campaign must first finish its investigation into how many voters improperly cast absentee ballots or who voted in both the Democratic primary and GOP runoff, a violation of state law.

crooksandliars:

Glenn Becks Angrily Shoots Rifle On Radio Show Over Chris McDaniel's Loss

Glenn Beck called into his radio show from his ranch and was whining about Orrin Hatch and other Republicans who had supported Thad Cochran’s victory of the Tea Partiers’ new favorite toy, Chris McDaniel. Beck got so riled up over it that he ran outside his yard and started shooting off his rifle to relieve the stress.

Sen. Thad Cochran narrowly defeated Tea Party-backed challenger Chris McDaniel in Mississippi’s GOP runoff Tuesday, and many media outlets are suggesting Cochran’s heavy courtship of black Democrats was key to his success.

The issue infuriated Glenn Beck, who said on his radio program that Cochran’s actions are proof that “establishment” Republicans are “much more comfortable with having Democrats come out and vote, than having their base come out and vote.”

Beck grew so angry at one point during his broadcast — which he is doing from his ranch this week — that he briefly stepped away from the microphone to shoot his rifle.

That’s pretty out there and I imagine it was meant to influence other right wingers to adopt a similar behavior.

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Wow, this Dana Loesch lady is nuts.

From the 06.25.2014 edition of TheBlazeTV’s The Glenn Beck Program:

H/T: Miranda Blue at RWW

crooksandliars:

Right Wing Extremists Sending Poll Watchers To Tuesday's MS Runoff

Poll watchers in Democratic precincts in Mississippi? What could possibly go wrong with that? But that is exactly what will happen on Tuesday for the runoff between Thad Cochran and Chris McDaniel.

New York Times:

As Senator Thad Cochran, the veteran Republican, fights for his political life in Mississippi by taking the unexpected step of courting black Democrats, conservative organizations working to defeat him are planning to deploy poll watchers to monitor his campaign’s turnout operation in Tuesday’s runoff election.

Kenneth T. Cuccinelli II, president of the Senate Conservatives Fund, a political action committee that has spent hundreds of thousands of dollars backing Mr. Cochran’s Tea Party opponent, State Senator Chris McDaniel, said in an interview on Sunday that his group was joining with Freedom Works and the Tea Party Patriots in a “voter integrity project” in Mississippi.

The groups will deploy observers in areas where Mr. Cochran is recruiting Democrats, Mr. Cuccinelli said. J. Christian Adams, a former Justice Department official and conservative commentator who said he was advising the effort, described the watchers as “election observers,” mostly Mississippi residents, who will be trained to “observe whether the law is being followed.”

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H/T: Miranda Blue at RWW

H/T: David Nir at Daily Kos Elections

crooksandliars:

Mississippi GOP Nailbiter Senate Race Heads For Runoff

Despite the scandal involving Chris McDaniel’s supporters and Thad Cochran’s ill wife, neither candidate has been able to secure 50 percent of the vote, with more than 97 percent of the precincts reporting.

If one or the other doesn’t break the 50 percent barrier, they will head for a runoff in three weeks.

The spoiler is Republican candidate Thomas Carey, who siphoned off over 4,000 votes from the other two candidates.

There’s still a chance McDaniel could edge out Cochran in the final count and hit 50 percent. If so, this post will be updated.


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crooksandliars:

Flip-Flopper Cruz Claims 2013 Government Shutdown Is Winning Strategy To Reclaim Senate

Wingnut Texas Senator Ted Cruz seems to have forgotten that there are those things called recording devices out there after listening to his remarks at this years Republican Leadership Conference, there he claimed that the government shutdown he was previously trying to pin on the Democrats is now a winning strategy to help the Republicans win back the Senate in the midterm elections.

For anyone who doesn’t have selective memory loss like Cruz, here he was back in August of last year, saying that the Republicans won’t be blamed for the government shutdown.

And here he is again with even the useless Bob Schieffer laughing in his face for trying to pretend that he and his party were not responsible for shutting down the government.

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crooksandliars:

If a Republican who aspires to national office can’t understand plain English, should they be allowed to even run, much less be elected? That’s the question I asked when I heard about Iowa’s Senate candidate Joni Ernst calling the UCSB shootings an “unfortunate accident.”

There’s nothing accidental about a rage-filled asshole with a few semi-automatic weapons picking off women standing on a sidewalk. Nothing accidental about that at all. It’s a wanton act of premeditated murder, enabled by the NRA and gun nuts across this nation. Ernst whitewashed it to pander to her bloodthirsty keepers, and now she needs to own it and be disqualified from ever holding national office.

During the debate, a viewer questioned whether she would change her ad which shows Ernst on a firing range promising to unload on Obamacare. TPM:

The moderator then asked Ernst if she would change the ad or its timing in light of the UCSB shooting.

"I would not — no. This unfortunate accident happened after the ad, but it does highlight that I want to get rid of, repeal, and replace Bruce Braley’s Obamacare," Ernst replied, referring to a Democratic Senate candidate. "And it also shows that I am a strong supporter of the Second Amendment. That is a fundamental right."

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