Posts tagged "2016 Dems"

Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley is moving ahead with preparations for a possible presidential bid and said in an interview that if he’s going to lay the groundwork for a national campaign, he can’t wait for Hillary Rodham Clinton to decide whether she is running.

In some of his most extensive comments to date on his aspirations, O’Malley (D) said he has been meeting with foreign- and domestic-policy experts privately to flesh out his thinking about “a better way forward for our country.” And he said that he would make a good president “for these times especially.”

“I have a great deal of respect for Hillary Clinton,” O’Malley said. “But for my own part, I have a responsibility to prepare and to address the things that I feel a responsibility to address. . . . To squander this important period of preparation because of horse-race concerns and handicapping concerns is just not a very productive use of energy. . . . Right now, I’m going to keep doing what I’m doing — the thought work and the preparation work.”

At the moment, the governor is stuck in an awkward position. He clearly wants to run for the White House in 2016 but probably won’t, several close associates say, if Clinton runs. They expect he would defer to her in part out of loyalty to a friend and political ally — he was the second governor in the country to endorse her 2008 presidential bid— and in part because he would be such a long shot against Clinton. In the interview, O’Malley said a possible Clinton bid is not a factor in his thinking “at this point.”

With less than a year left in office, O’Malley is without a clear destination. Thus far, his political career has moved swiftly — from Baltimore council member, to mayor, to Maryland governor — but now it’s uncertain what his next job will be. If it could be the presidency, he said, there’s no time to waste.

[…]

O’Malley would face a steep climb. He has barely registered in early presidential polling, and even in Maryland, Democratic voters preferred Clinton by a 7-to-1 ratio ina Washington Post survey last year. In aPost poll published in the past week, Clinton was the first choice for president for 73 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationally.

Moreover, Clinton, a former U.S. senator and former secretary of state, remains the first choice of many Democrats in Maryland.

In a recent interview, state Senate President Thomas V. Mike Miller Jr. (D-Calvert) said, “There are people like myself who think it’s Hillary’s time.” U.S. House Minority Whip Steny H. Hoyer (D-Md.) told Roll Call recently that he considers Clinton the “odds-on favorite of most Democrats if she runs.” Hoyer added that if she doesn’t run, he would support O’Malley, who would make an “excellent” president.

O’Malley has been working diligently to promote himself and boost his prospects. Late last year, he traveled to New Hampshire, where, at a Democratic dinner, he touted his record of fighting crime and drugs in Baltimore and pushing progressive causes at the State House in Annapolis, including the legalization of same-sex marriage.

h/t: John Wagner at Washington Post

Every conversation we have with any Democratic operative about the 2016 presidential race starts this way: “Well, I mean if Hillary runs . . . .” Which, of course, is to be expected. If Hillary Rodham Clinton, the former secretary of state, former New York senator and former 2008 presidential candidate, runs, then the Democratic race (and the general election, too) revolves around her.

But, of late, those conversations have an interesting addendum to them that goes like this: “Of course, if Elizabeth Warren wanted to do it, she’d have a case to make.” Yes, she would. We’ve long believed that the freshman Democratic Massachusetts senator’s combination of hero status among liberals nationally and massive fundraising capacity would make her very formidable if she ran.

Warren has been adamant about her lack of interest in the race. But, things change in politics. Then-Illinois Sen. Barack Obama was similarly adamant about his lack of interest in running for president in 2008 — and we know how that turned out.

The simple fact is that Warren’s beloved status among rank-and-file Democrats — and an elite group of very wealthy and very liberal major donors — means that if Clinton didn’t run, Warren would come under a significant amount of pressure to reconsider. And Warren would have a built-in excuse to explain her past comments; “Well I never thought about it seriously because I expected Hillary to run . . . but now that she’s not . . . .”

Because of that upside — with apologies to NBA draft experts — we are moving Warren into our second tier of potential Democratic presidential candidates. Clinton remains as the lone candidate in the first tier — a space she will occupy until she announces whether she is running. Our breakdown of the field is below. The candidates within each tier are listed alphabetically.

Tier One (If she runs, the other tiers don’t matter)

●Hillary Rodham Clinton: Everything we hear privately and everything we see publicly suggests that Clinton is running — or at least allowing those around her to put the pieces in place to be ready if/when she flips the switch. Does that mean she is definitely in? No. But it means that with every passing month, we become more and more convinced that the surprise announcement would be that she’s not running.

Tier Two (If not Hillary, then . . .)

● Joe Biden: Last week, the vice president called state Rep.-elect Brian Meyer (D) to congratulate him on his special-election victory a few days earlier. Why would the VP call a not-even-sworn-in-yet state legislator? Because Meyer is from Iowa. And that tells you everything you need to know about whether Biden is thinking about running for president in 2016.

● Andrew Cuomo: Unlike some of the other people on this list — Martin O’Malley, we are looking at you — the New York governor is doing the do-as-little-as-possible-to-stoke-2016-speculation thing. (That may or may not be a thing.) Cuomo, the scion of a famous political family, knows that in a field without Clinton, he is a heavyweight given his name, fundraising abilities and résumé as governor of one of the most Democratic states in the country.

● Martin O’Malley: The governor of Maryland is, without question, the candidate most open about his interest in running for president. “By the end of this year, I think we’re on course to have a body of work that lays the framework for a candidacy in 2016,” O’Malley told reporters in August. His travel schedule is heavy on trips to Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, and O’Malley used his time as chairman of the Democratic Governors Association to build out his national fundraising network.

●Elizabeth Warren: See above. There’s no one not named Clinton on this list who combines the star power and fundraising potential that Warren boasts. And, Warren has one thing that even Clinton doesn’t: a rabid following within the liberal base of the party.

Tier Three (There’s a will and a way — sort of)

● Kirsten Gillibrand: Gillibrand is a sneaky-good politician. Without all that much fanfare, she has turned herself into a liberal champion. She’s also someone who has proved that she knows how to raise money; she took in $30 million between her 2010 and 2012 Senate campaigns.

Tier Four (There’s a will but — probably — not a way)

●Howard Dean: Dean clearly looks back on his one-time front-running 2004 presidential campaign wistfully and wonders if he could catch lightning in a bottle again. The answer is almost certainly “no,” but Dean, never someone who cared much about the party establishment’s opinion of him, might be the sort of person who would be willing to wage a campaign against Clinton from the ideological left.

●Amy Klobuchar: The field above her is too crowded for the Minnesota senator to take a flier on a presidential bid. But, she has the résumé and the ambition to surprise people if things broke just right.

If HRC and/or Biden don’t run, I’d prefer Martin O’Malley, Elizabeth Warren, or Amy Klobuchar to be my pick. Gillibrand would do well too. 

Cuomo = DINO and not happening.  

h/t: Washington Post's Chris Cillizza

The Washington Times’ Wesley Pruden launched a sexist attack against Hillary Clinton, claiming that while a man her age is “not particularly old,” a woman in public life like Clinton “is getting past her sell-by date.”

Discussing speculation that Clinton might run for president in 2016, Washington Times' editor emeritus Wesley Pruden, began his September 24 column by noting that Clinton’s interview with New York magazine had revived speculation on her political plans, adding, “the lady knows how to keep everyone guessing. Only her roots are showing.” Pruden concluded by saying that Clinton’s age is “not particularly old for a man” but “a woman in public life is getting past her sell-by date”. 

h/t: MMFA

(via Fischer on AFA Radio’s Focal Point: “Democrats Are Going to Tell President Obama to ‘Sit in the Back of the Bus’” | Right Wing Watch)

On his radio program yesterday, Bryan Fischer spent a segment gloating about how President Obama’s recent speech in Berlin was an “absolute abysmal, colossal failure” because he spoke to only 4,500 invited guests, in comparison to the crowd of 200,000 who turned out to hear him when he spoke there as a candidate back in 2008 (unlike, say, President George W. Bush who was met by 20,000 protestors when he traveled there in 2002.)

"What you’re about to see," Fischer predicted, "is Barack Obama is going to be kicked to the back of the Democratic bus. This guy has now become a liability … and the Democratic Party is going to tell him to sit in the back of the bus; the front of the Democratic bus belongs to the white person, Hillary Clinton."

(via HuffPost Politics: Martin O’Malley Using Fundraising, Agenda To Explore 2016 Run)

ANNAPOLIS, Md. — His latest legislative achievements put him in the vanguard of his party’s liberal base. He’s been a top fundraiser for President Barack Obama. And he’s ramping up his travel to help fellow Democrats around the country.

Little-known outside his home state, Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley has methodically checked the necessary boxes toward earning the reputation of good Democratic soldier as he considers whether to run for president in 2016 – a White House bid that would face long odds.

It’s very early. Obama still has more than three years left in his presidency. And no one is officially in the race.

Yet, O’Malley already is overshadowed by the buzz surrounding the mere prospect of a Hillary Rodham Clinton candidacy. If not her, talk in Democratic circles turns to Vice President Joe Biden.

Despite the hurdles, the 50-year-old former Baltimore mayor is publicly undaunted.

On a trip to Israel last month to seemingly boost his foreign policy credentials, O’Malley disclosed publicly what had been arguably the worst-kept secret in Annapolis – that he would use the last half of this year to consider seeking the presidency. His Washington-area appearances at fundraisers Tuesday for Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire and June 12 for Iowa Senate candidate Bruce Braley are certain to raise eyebrows even further given that the two candidates represent states that traditionally weigh in first in a Democratic primary.

While O’Malley is one of the few Democrats openly talking about succeeding Obama, aides say he hasn’t made any decisions about his political future. That includes whether he would run or not if Clinton, whom he endorsed and campaigned for during her 2008 race, decides to seek the nomination. Democratic insiders say the former secretary of state would be the heavy favorite should she launch a campaign.

A former head of the Democratic Governors Association, O’Malley is one of the party’s top fundraisers and made clear his national aspirations when he worked to raise more than $1 million for Obama’s re-election campaign, the most of any sitting Democratic office-holder.

Then, last fall, he headlined Iowa Sen. Tom Harkin’s annual steak fry – a must-stop for any presidential aspirant seeking to compete in the state’s traditional leadoff caucuses. He followed that up with a springtime speech to party activists in South Carolina, another stop in the early primary contests.

Aides say O’Malley, now the DGA’s finance chairman, will spend more time in places with active governors’ races in 2014 – states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida – giving him a way to court the party’s elite without the media glare of early primary states. He also is scheduled to address the Center for American Progress, a liberal think tank with close ties to the Obama administration, on May 30.

Through it all, O’Malley will be overseeing implementation of his latest liberal legislative victories, new laws that would put him in lockstep with many party activists who play pivotal roles in primaries and caucuses.

In November and on O’Malley’s watch, voters approved the state’s same-sex marriage law and a state version of the Dream Act, which allows immigrants living in the country illegally to pay in-state tuition at public colleges and universities.

The governor, whose second term ends in January 2015, boasts of a data-driven approach aimed at managing his state through budget cuts and tough economic conditions.

"The good news is that he’s a great Democrat, and he’s a very progressive person and has put forth a very progressive agenda, and if that is what you believe in, then you’ll think he’ll make a great president," Miller said. "So his principal detractors are those who have a much more conservative philosophy and so he has all the makings to win a Democratic primary."

Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley (D) said he’s considering a run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016 — and will spend the latter half of this year focusing on whether a White House bid is feasible.
 

“By the second half of this year, I need to be spending a lot more energy and time giving serious consideration and preparation to what if anything I might have to offer should I decide to run for president in 2016,” O’Malley, 50, told the Baltimore Sun’s editorial board on Wednesday. 

“The primary reason I think that my name has been mentioned occasionally in the company of such greats as Hillary Clinton, great public servants such as Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden is because of the accomplishments that we’ve had and the effectiveness that we’ve had through two administrations here in Baltimore and also at the state,” O’Malley added. 

“And so over the course and especially the latter half of this year, I need to properly allocate the attention, the time, the thought power, the brain power necessary to give the serious consideration to that weighty responsibility that it deserves.”

O’Malley, who is serving his second term as governor, just completed a legislative session in Annapolis that included passage of a new gun law that imposes some of the toughest restrictions in the nation. 

The bill mandates fingerprinting for people purchasing handguns, bans dozens of types of semiautomatic rifles and imposes a 10-round limit on magazines.

That gun bill and other legislation approved during O’Malley’s administration — including the legalization of gay marriage and the approval of in-state tuition to young illegal immigrants — are highly popular among Democratic primary voters. 

O’Malley also touts Maryland’s decision to repeal the death penalty and the imposition of higher gasoline taxes to pay for transportation infrastructure as achievements that could endear him to Democrats. 

“For the last 90 days I’ve been very much focused and very much absorbed with the very difficult things that we had to get done in this session,” O’Malley told the Sun

But O’Malley, though well known in Democratic circles, has a low national profile. 

A survey by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling earlier this month found O’Malley with just 1 percent support among Democrats for the 2016 nomination. 

O’Malley was viewed favorably by 10 percent of those polled, and unfavorably by 12 percent. But fully 78 percent of voters weren’t sure. 



H/T: The Hill 

(via Think Progress: RNCTV’s Latest Sexist Attack Against Hillary: ‘Face Lift, Perhaps?’)

Fox and Friends host Steve Doocy took a shot at outgoing Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on Wednesday morning, speculating that she underwent a face lift in the last two weeks. In a quick headline roundup, Doocy quipped that Clinton’s new website featured her “glamorous new face,” while Fox showed a side-by-side comparison of her website photo and a photo from Clinton’s exasperated testimony at the Senate’s hearing on the Benghazi attacks.

Is this the face of presidential ambition? Days after retiring as Secretary of State, somebody has launched a website for her, showing off this glamorous new face. Face lift, perhaps? Well, that’s fueling rumors about a run for president in 2016, but her aides say it’s simply a way for fans and the media to reach her.

Typical FNC.

Hillary Clinton would be “the ideal Democratic presidential candidate in 2016,” sweeping her party’s primary and besting potential Republican candidates other than Chris Christie, according to the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling.

The secretary of state has a 54 percent favorable rating among registered voters in polling released Thursday, with 39 percent viewing her unfavorably. Among Democrats, those numbers were 79 percent favorable to 15 percent unfavorable.

She led a poll of possible Democratic primary candidates by an imposing margin, garnering a majority 57 percent support. Vice President Joe Biden came in at a distant second, with 16 percent, while seven other prospective candidates, including New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, all failed to break 5 percent.

Clinton also would lead three possible GOP candidates — former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.) — by margins of 14 percentage points. A matchup against Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, whom she edged 44 percent to 42 percent, could be much closer.

The 2016 Republican primary may be a challenge for Christie, who tied for fourth among possible 2016 Republican nominees. Christie was more popular nationally with Democrats than with Republicans in the PPP survey.

Rubio was the most popular among Republicans, with 21 percent of GOP support, followed by Ryan at 16 percent, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 15 percent, and Christie and Bush at 14 percent each. Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and Texas Gov. Rick Perry all saw single-digit support.

With Clinton and Biden excluded from the Democratic field, 40 percent of primary voters were undecided. Cuomo and Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts took the top places, with 19 percent and 16 percent respectively, with O’Malley, Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia and former Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer trailing.

h/t: Huffington Post

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will endorse gay marriage, sources close to the former first lady have said.

According to POLITICO.com, Clinton will join her husband, President Bill Clinton, and daughter, Chelsea Clinton, in endorsing marriage equality after she leaves the Obama administration.

Her circle has “indicated privately that she feels like … because of her role as the country’s chief diplomat that it was appropriate for her to stay out of this,” one source said, adding that “she will end up with the rest of the clan.”

POLITICO notes that Clinton “remains the biggest-name Democratic 2016 presidential hopeful who has yet to take a position in support of gay marriage.”

Clinton, who has strongly spoken out in favor of LGBT rights and cheered passage of marriage equality in New York, last weighed in on the issue in a profile for gay glossy The Advocate last year.

h/t: OnTopMag.com

politicalprof:

While it always astonishes me that such discussions happen so soon after an election, there’s already speculation about who the party nominees for president will be in 2016.

As always happens, most attention today is given to the venerable figures in a given party—the so-called “name brands.”…

tpmmedia:

Clinton, Christie Lead First Polls Of 2016 N.H. Primaries

For much of the American electorate, the culmination of the 2012 campaign has provided a much-needed respite from politics. But for the prolific pollsters at Public Policy Polling? Let the 2016 race to the White House begin!

The odds are already being set for a Hillary Clinton campaign for the White House in 2016 – even though the secretary of state has said repeatedly that she will not run again.

Barack Obama’s re-election set off a new conversation on Wednesday about Democratic prospects for the next presidential election, with Clinton’s name inevitably top of the list.

The vice-president, Joe Biden, is another contender. Biden, who turns 70 this month, was once ruled out as a possible successor because of his age. But he has been joking about his plans for 2016 on the campaign trail, telling reporters on election day that he thought he might get another chance to vote for himself.

However, Clinton, who plans to step down from the state department in the new year, remains the top choice of many Democrats. Bookmakers on Wednesday gave odds ranging from 5-2 to 7-1 against Clinton winning office in 2016.

Her approval ratings are inching towards 70%, her highest in 20 years in political life. Before the attack in Benghazi in which Chris Stevens, the US ambassador to Libya, was killed, there was broad consensus that Clinton had done a good job. “I don’t think there is anyone out there who doesn’t think Hillary Clinton is an extremely successful secretary of state. She is right up there in the upper tier of modern secretaries of state,” said David Rothkopf, chief executive of Foreign Policy magazine.

Clinton has amassed a global following thanks to her peripatetic existence over the last four years, and she enjoys a huge reservoir of goodwill – and, some would say, guilt and regret – among those who remember her gritty fight against Obama in the primaries in 2008.

H/T: guardian.co.uk