10.31.2012 =: US Senate Overview
11.01.2012 1: US House Overview 1 (Northeast, New England, Midwest)
11.01.2012 2: US House Overview 2 (West, Southwest, Texas, South, Florida)
11.02.2012 1: IN-Sen (Donnelly v. Mourdock)
11.02.2012 2: WI-01 (Zerban v. Ryan)
11.02.2012 3: WI-Sen (Baldwin v. Thompson)
11.03.2012 1: MO-Gov (Nixon v. Spence), MO-Lt. Gov, Mo-SoS, MO-AG, MO-Treasurer
11.03.2012 2: MO-Sen (McCaskill v. Akin)
11.04.2012 1: IL-10 (Schneider v. Dold)
11.04.2012 2: IL-08 (Duckworth v. Walsh)
11.04.2012 3: IL-11 (Foster v. Biggert)
11.05.2012 1: IL-17 (Bustos v. Schilling)
11.05.2012 2: IL-13 (Gill v. Davis v. Hartman)
11.05.2012 3: IL-12 (My home district, Enyart v. Plummer)
11.06.2012 1: POTUS/VPOTUS (Obama/Biden v. Romney/Ryan v. Stein/Honkala v. Johnson v. Gray), GOTV/Election Day diary
1 = Morning
2 = Afternoon/Early Evening
3 = Evening/Overnight
The finale of my 2012 Election preview diary series: The Presidential horse race between incumbent Barack Obama (D) and Mitt Romney (R). Also running for Presidency: Jill Stein (G), Gary Johnson (L), Virgil Goode (C), Rocky Anderson (JP), and a slew of other minor-tier third parties.
My final projected map:
Birth State, Home State, if different from Birth State
Safe Obama/Biden (242):
California, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia (Washington DC), Hawaii, Illinois, Maine (2 Senate + ME-01), Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington
Likely Obama/Biden (42):
Colorado, Maine (ME-02), Ohio, New Hampshire, Wisconsin
Lean Obama/Biden (19):
Florida (Tossup/Tilt D), North Carolina (Pure Tossup)
Lean Romney/Ryan (0):
Likely Romney/Ryan (33):
Arizona, Indiana, Missouri, Nebraska (NE-02)
Safe Romney/Ryan (158):
Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska (2 Senate + NE-01 + NE-03), North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, Wyoming
McCain/Palin 2008 State(s) That Could Flip To Obama: Arizona.
Obama/Biden 2008 State(s) That Could Flip To Romney: Florida, Indiana (very likely), North Carolina
Total: 303-191-44, Obama.
Remember to GOTV and vote for the Democratic Party all the way down the ballot from Presidency to your Senator(s) to your local Congresscritter to your local offices!
The candidates running:
Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D, incumbent):
Home State: Illinois (Obama), Delaware (Biden)
Birth State: Hawaii (Obama), Pennsylvania (Biden)
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan (R):
Home State: Massachusetts (Romney), Wisconsin (Ryan)
Birth State: Michigan (Romney), Wisconsin (Ryan)
Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala (G):
Home State: Massachusetts (Stein), Pennsylvania (Honkala)
Birth State: Illinois (Stein), Minnesota (Honkala)
Fun fact: All-female ticket. The 1st all-female ticket in US history was in 1884, with the Belva Ann Lockwood/Marietta Stow ticket representing the now-defunct National Equal Rights Party. The 1st post-19th Amendment all-female ticket in US history was in 1980 with Maureen Smith/Elizabeth Cervantes Barron on the Peace and Freedom Party ticket and Deirdre Griswold/Gavrielle Holmes ticket on the Workers World Party.
Gary Johnson/James Gray (L):
Home State: New Mexico (Johnson), California (Gray)
Birth State: North Dakota (Johnson), District of Columbia (Gray)
Fun Fact: Johnson was a former Republican until sometime after he dropped out in the 2012 GOP Primaries and former Governor of New Mexico.
Virgil Goode/Jim Clymer (C):
Home State: Virginia (Goode), Pennsylvania (Clymer)
Birth State: Virginia (Goode), Pennsylvania (Clymer)
Fun Fact: Goode has switched from Democratic to Independent to Republican to his current home, the ultra-far-right paleocon Constitution Party.
Rocky Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez (JP):
Home State: Utah (Anderson), California (Rodriguez)
Birth State: Utah (Anderson), Texas (Rodriguez)
Fun Fact: Anderson was a former mayor of Salt Lake City and a former Democrat.